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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.1d1" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">Kazakhstan journal for oil &amp; gas industry</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Kazakhstan journal for oil &amp; gas industry</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2707-4226</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2957-806X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>KMG Engineering</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">108947</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.54859/kjogi108947</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Development of an automated module for assessing the management reserve for contingencies in oil and gas construction planning</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chizhikov</surname><given-names>Sergey V.</given-names></name><email>s.chizhikov@ingenix-group.ru</email><uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3662-7216</uri><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dubovitskaya</surname><given-names>Yekaterina A.</given-names></name><bio>&lt;p&gt;PhD&lt;/p&gt;</bio><email>e.dubovitskaya@ingenix-group.ru</email><uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0000-7303-7750</uri><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name name-style="western"><surname>Akhmetov</surname><given-names>Rustem N.</given-names></name><email>r.akhmetov@ingenix-group.ru</email><uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0003-1981-2375</uri><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kadyrova</surname><given-names>Satya D.</given-names></name><email>s.kadyrova@ingenix-group.ru</email><uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0008-0628-0206</uri><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff id="aff-1">Ingenix Group</aff><pub-date date-type="epub" iso-8601-date="2026-04-01" publication-format="electronic"><day>01</day><month>04</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>8</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>113</fpage><lpage>122</lpage><history><pub-date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2026-02-02"><day>02</day><month>02</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2026-03-17"><day>17</day><month>03</month><year>2026</year></pub-date></history><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright © 2026, Chizhikov S.V., Dubovitskaya Y.A., Akhmetov R.N., Kadyrova S.D.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year></permissions><abstract>&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Background:&lt;/strong&gt; Existing Russian and international principles for establishing management reserves for contingencies (hereinafter – MRC) in capital construction planning within the oil and gas sector differ significantly. The authors propose their own methodology for assessing the MRC and describe a calculation algorithm based on an automated risk management module developed by Ingenix Group LLC using this methodology.&lt;/p&gt;&#13;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Aim:&lt;/strong&gt; The aim of this work is to provide a more accurate accounting of risks in the evaluation of oil and gas projects, taking into account the project implementation stage and the complexity of capital construction facilities.&lt;/p&gt;&#13;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Materials and methods: &lt;/strong&gt;The methodology is based on a synthesis of international practices, including the classification of the Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International (hereinafter – AACEI) and the recommendations of the U.S. Department of Energy (hereinafter – DoE), as well as Russian regulations. The authors propose adapting the DoE contingency reserve ranges to the AACEI accuracy classes and applying them at the individual project level, aligning them with Russian design stages. The automated MRC assessment module is implemented as part of the proprietary Ingenix Cost Manager® software suite for evaluating costs of oil and gas projects.&lt;/p&gt;&#13;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Results:&lt;/strong&gt; The article provides detailed information and recommendations on the size of the MRC depending on the project stage (feasibility study, design documentation, etc.) and the complexity class of the facility. The methodology has been tested on a real project, demonstrating the feasibility of calculating a justified total contingency reserve for the project.&lt;/p&gt;&#13;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Conclusion:&lt;/strong&gt; The proposed methodology facilitates a quantitative assessment of the MRC at different project stages, considering the specific characteristics and complexity of each facility. This approach helps mitigate the risk of underfunding and enhances the likelihood of compliance with the budget and achievement of the project’s targeted profitability. The automated assessment module enables rapid calculations using all available project data and ensures accurate incorporation of the MRC in evaluating the construction costs of facilities.&lt;/p&gt;</abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>сontingency</kwd><kwd>reserve</kwd><kwd>development of an oil and gas field</kwd><kwd>pre-project cost estimate</kwd><kwd>capital investments</kwd><kwd>cost model</kwd><kwd>cost databases</kwd><kwd>risk management</kwd><kwd>management reserve</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="kk"><kwd>күтпеген шығыстар</kwd><kwd>резерв</kwd><kwd>мұнай-газ кен орнын жайластыру</kwd><kwd>шығындарды жобалау алдындағы бағалау</kwd><kwd>күрделі салымдар</kwd><kwd>құн моделі</kwd><kwd>шығындар бойынша деректер базасы</kwd><kwd>тәуекелдерді басқару</kwd><kwd>басқару резерві</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>непредвиденные расходы</kwd><kwd>резерв</kwd><kwd>обустройство нефтегазового месторождения</kwd><kwd>предпроектная оценка затрат</kwd><kwd>капитальные вложения</kwd><kwd>стоимостная модель</kwd><kwd>базы данных по затратам</kwd><kwd>управление рисками</kwd><kwd>управленческий резерв</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><mixed-citation>Chizhikov SV, Dubovitskaya EA, Akhmetov RN, Pushkina RO. Assessment of contingency CAPEX for construction of oil and gas facilities depending on their stage and complexity: theory and practice. Oil Industry. 2022;6:82–86. doi: 10.24887/0028-2448-2020-6-82-86.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B2"><label>2.</label><mixed-citation>Chizhikov SV, Dubovitskaya EA, Pashchenko AD. Problems and proposed solutions for oil and gas projects cost estimation in Russia. Oil Industry. 2013;9:92–95.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B3"><label>3.</label><mixed-citation>Chizhikov SV, Dubovitskaya EA. Pre-FEED CAPEX evaluation in oil&amp;gas upstream: analyzing effectiveness of integrated technical and economic modelling approach. Oil Industry. 2021;4:10–16. doi: 10.24887/0028-2448-2021-4-10-16.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B4"><label>4.</label><mixed-citation>Kokhanovskyi VA, Sergeyeva MK, Komakhidze MG. System Complexity Index. Advanced Engineering Research (Rostov-on-Don). 2012;4(65):22–26.</mixed-citation></ref></ref-list></back></article>
